Where and when is Morecambe vs Chorley played?

Morecambe vs Chorley is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mazuma Stadium, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Morecambe vs Chorley: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 42Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe, Lancashire

Morecambe

Chorley

The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Morecambe vs Chorley?

Chorley starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,813 vs 1,692).

Morecambe win31 %

Draw25 %

Chorley win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morecambe have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Chorley have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Morecambe
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Radcliffe(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	South Shields(home)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Harborough Town(away)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Spennymoor Town(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Barrow(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Chorley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Marine(away)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	South Shields(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Chester(home)	1-2	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Trafford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Morecambe win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chorley win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 17, 2021	Chorley 1-0 Morecambe	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Chorley vs Morecambe on Jul 17, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Morecambe score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Morecambe	1.1	2.1	1	8/15	9/15
Chorley	0.9	1.2	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Morecambe sit 24th in National League - North (1 points from 4 matches) and Chorley sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Chorley	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
24	Morecambe	4	0	1	3	2	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Morecambe vs Chorley?: The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Morecambe.
Where and when is Morecambe vs Chorley played?: Morecambe vs Chorley is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mazuma Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.