Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions: result 2-4 and analysis
Queensland NPLRegular Season - 7Kick-off on April 14, 2024 at 06:30 AM (UTC)Wolter Park, Brisbane
Full time
What was the result of Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions?
Lions won 2-4 on April 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 23′?Lions
- 25′A. PengellyLions
- 31′A. PengellyLions
- 57′?Moreton City Excelsior (pen.)
- 70′?Lions
- 74′?Moreton City Excelsior (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Moreton City Excelsior have 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Lions have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | Brisbane City(home) | 3-1 | Queensland NPL |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SC Wanderers(away) | 5-3 | Queensland NPL |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Brisbane Roar II(home) | 3-2 | Queensland NPL |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Olympic(away) | 1-1 | Queensland NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Brisbane City(home) | 6-0 | Queensland NPL |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Brisbane Roar II(home) | 1-2 | Queensland NPL |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Olympic(away) | 2-0 | Queensland NPL |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Rochedale Rovers(home) | 3-2 | Queensland NPL |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Peninsula Power(away) | 3-0 | Queensland NPL |
How many goals should we expect?
Moreton City Excelsior score 3.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Lions score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreton City Excelsior | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0 | 4/4 | 3/4 |
| Lions | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moreton City Excelsior sit 3rd in Queensland NPL (39 points from 22 matches) and Lions sit 1st (53 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57 | 22 | 53 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51 | 35 | 39 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy