Mornar vs Mladost DG: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion SRC Topolica, Bar
The Footlab AI model makes Mornar the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Mladost DG. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mornar vs Mladost DG?
Mornar starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,616 vs 1,452).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mornar vs Mladost DG
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mornar
4-3-3- 11Y. Yao
- 9A. Soussi
- 20N. Medojević
- 97Petar Vukčević
- 17J. Dašić
- 10D. Škrijelj
- 33N. Stijepović
- 6I. Martinović
- 15J. Baošić
- 32V. Ljutica
- 24Benjamin Krijestarac
Mladost DG
4-3-3- 27Stephano Almeida
- 7L. Knezevic
- 9D. Mugosa
- 10A. Jovanović
- 28N. A. Cordoba
- 8A. Čepić
- 32S. Radinović
- 37L. Pejović
- 4N. Jovičić
- 6Z. Ceklic
- 31B. Radanović
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mornar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Mladost DG have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Jezero(home) | 3-3 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dečić(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Iskra(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Petrovac(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Mornar wins, 0 draws, 0 Mladost DG wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Mladost DG 1-5 Mornar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mladost DG 2-3 Mornar | First League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mladost DG 1-2 Mornar | First League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Mornar 3-0 Mladost DG | First League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Mladost DG 1-3 Mornar | First League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Mornar 2-1 Mladost DG | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mornar score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mladost DG score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mornar | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Mladost DG | 1.4 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mornar sit 6th in First League (14 points from 10 matches) and Mladost DG sit 7th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mornar | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 7 | Mladost DG | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Mornar vs Mladost DG?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mornar vs Mladost DG?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mornar the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Mladost DG.
- Where and when is Mornar vs Mladost DG played?
- Mornar vs Mladost DG is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion SRC Topolica, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.