Mornar vs Petrovac: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion SRC Topolica, Bar
The Footlab AI model makes Mornar the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Petrovac. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mornar vs Petrovac?
Mornar starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,606 vs 1,478).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mornar vs Petrovac
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mornar
4-3-3- 11Y. Yao
- 9A. Soussi
- 20N. Medojević
- 97Petar Vukčević
- 17J. Dašić
- 10D. Škrijelj
- 33N. Stijepović
- 6I. Martinović
- 15J. Baošić
- 32V. Ljutica
- 13V. Stojanović
Petrovac
4-3-3- 7T. Selimi
- 11I. Vukčević
- 99V. Striković
- 22D. Miranović
- 18S. Ficovic
- 8D. Bakić
- 5A. Kapisoda
- 44M. Merdovič
- 23R. Đelaj
- 4O. Obradović
- 25M. Kordić
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mornar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Petrovac have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Jezero(home) | 3-3 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dečić(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Mladost DG(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dečić(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sutjeska(home) | 0-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mornar wins, 3 draws, 0 Petrovac wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Petrovac 1-1 Mornar | First League |
| May 20, 2026 | Mornar 1-1 Petrovac | First League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Petrovac 0-2 Mornar | First League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Mornar 3-1 Petrovac | First League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Petrovac 1-1 Mornar | First League |
| May 24, 2025 | Petrovac 0-2 Mornar | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mornar score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Petrovac score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mornar | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Petrovac | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mornar sit 6th in First League (13 points from 9 matches) and Petrovac sit 9th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mornar | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Petrovac | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Mornar vs Petrovac?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mornar vs Petrovac?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mornar the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Petrovac.
- Where and when is Mornar vs Petrovac played?
- Mornar vs Petrovac is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion SRC Topolica, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.