Jezero vs Dečić: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion pod Racinom, Plav
The Footlab AI model makes Dečić the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Jezero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dečić wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jezero vs Dečić?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Jezero (1,449) and Dečić (1,521).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jezero vs Dečić
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jezero
4-3-3- 30D. Jovanovic
- 7A. Škrijelj
- 45M. Raičević
- 10U. Bulatovic
- 6N. Jovićević
- 8I. Redzepagic
- 2Abdel Osmanović
- 11I. Tučević
- 22Matija Bojović
- 4N. Fatic
- 50I. Asanović
Dečić
4-3-3- 11U. Djuranovic
- 10M. Đokaj
- 9I. Camaj
- 27D. Kontić
- 16M. Božanović
- 74Petar Pavlićević
- 29N. Braunović
- 15P. Ljuljdjuraj
- 22J. Drešaj
- 17L. Ujkaj
- 25D. Radošević
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jezero have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Dečić have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Mornar(away) | 3-3 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(home) | 5-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Petrovac(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Jezero(home) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jezero win, 1 draw, 4 Dečić wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Dečić 2-1 Jezero | First League |
| May 10, 2026 | Dečić 3-0 Jezero | First League |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Jezero 1-2 Dečić | First League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Dečić 1-0 Jezero | First League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Jezero 4-0 Dečić | First League |
| May 10, 2025 | Jezero 1-1 Dečić | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Jezero score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dečić score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jezero | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dečić | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jezero sit 8th in First League (10 points from 10 matches) and Dečić sit 4th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dečić | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | Jezero | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Jezero vs Dečić?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jezero vs Dečić?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dečić the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Jezero.
- Where and when is Jezero vs Dečić played?
- Jezero vs Dečić is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion pod Racinom, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.