Mosconia vs Praviano: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, Grado, Asturias
The Footlab AI model makes Mosconia the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Praviano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mosconia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mosconia vs Praviano?
On Elo ratings, Mosconia has 1,810 points and Praviano 1,726.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mosconia vs Praviano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mosconia
Not enough data to predict the Mosconia lineup.
Praviano
Not enough data to predict the Praviano lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mosconia have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Praviano have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Astur(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Andes(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Condal(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Siero(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colunga(away) | 5-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Langreo(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mosconia wins, 1 draw, 3 Praviano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Praviano 1-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Mosconia 2-0 Praviano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Mosconia 1-0 Praviano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Praviano 0-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Mosconia 2-4 Praviano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Praviano 3-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mosconia score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Praviano score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosconia | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Praviano | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mosconia sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 7 matches) and Praviano sit 7th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mosconia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Praviano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Mosconia vs Praviano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mosconia vs Praviano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mosconia the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Praviano.
- Where and when is Mosconia vs Praviano played?
- Mosconia vs Praviano is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.