Moss vs Ranheim: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Melløs Stadion, Moss
The Footlab model makes Moss the favourite at 39%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Ranheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moss vs Ranheim?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Moss (1,730) and Ranheim (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moss have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Ranheim have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lørenskog(away) | 3-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bryne(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | hodd(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Raufoss(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Steinkjer(away) | 6-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stromsgodset(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Strommen(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Haugesund(home) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sogndal(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Moss win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ranheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Ranheim 4-0 Moss | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Ranheim 0-0 Moss | 1. Division |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Moss 2-0 Ranheim | 1. Division |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Ranheim 1-0 Moss | 1. Division |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Moss 2-1 Ranheim | 1. Division |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Moss 0-1 Ranheim | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Moss score 1.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ranheim score 2.5 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moss | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Ranheim | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moss sit 13th in 1. Division (18 points from 18 matches) and Ranheim sit 9th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ranheim | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 20 |
| 7 | Moss | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 22 | 17 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 45 | 23 |
| 13 | Moss | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 41 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moss vs Ranheim?
- The Footlab model makes Moss the favourite at 39%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Ranheim.
- Where and when is Moss vs Ranheim played?
- Moss vs Ranheim is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Melløs Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.