Stabaek vs Stromsgodset: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nadderud Stadion, Bærum
The Footlab model makes Stabaek the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Stromsgodset. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Stabaek (1,947) and Stromsgodset (1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stabaek have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Stromsgodset have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heming(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Egersund(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 4-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 27, 2026 | hodd(home) | 6-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ranheim(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Egersund(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bryne(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 4, 2026 | hodd(away) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Stabaek win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Stromsgodset win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Stromsgodset 2-1 Stabaek | 1. Division |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Stabaek 1-4 Stromsgodset | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Stromsgodset 2-1 Stabaek | Eliteserien |
| Jul 3, 2023 | Stabaek 0-1 Stromsgodset | Eliteserien |
| Sep 29, 2021 | Stabaek 0-0 Stromsgodset | Eliteserien |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Stromsgodset 5-1 Stabaek | NM Cupen |
Last archived meeting: Stromsgodset vs Stabaek on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stabaek score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stromsgodset score 2.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stabaek | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Stromsgodset | 2.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stabaek sit 1st in 1. Division (39 points from 18 matches) and Stromsgodset sit 4th (35 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stabaek | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 39 |
| 1 | Stromsgodset | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 26 | 35 |
| 5 | Stabaek | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?
- The Footlab model makes Stabaek the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Stromsgodset.
- Where and when is Stabaek vs Stromsgodset played?
- Stabaek vs Stromsgodset is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nadderud Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.