Al Zawra'a vs Mosul: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Zawraa Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab AI model makes Al Zawra'a the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Mosul. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Zawra'a wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,847 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Zawra'a vs Mosul?
Al Zawra'a starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,651 vs 1,498).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Zawra'a vs Mosul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Zawra'a
4-3-3- 11M. Cabrera
- 99H. Abdulkareem
- 72Mohamed Sherif
- 15I. Soro
- 10Mohammed Qasim
- 77Ameer Sabah
- 3Masies Artien
- 53Ali Adnan
- 44M. Chobanov
- 25Sajjad Mahdi
- 1Ahmed Basil
Mosul
Not enough data to predict the Mosul lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 09:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Zawra'a have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mosul have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Al Riffa(home) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Nasr(home) | 0-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 2-4 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Al Zawra'a win, 2 draws, 0 Mosul wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Mosul 2-2 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Al Zawra'a 1-1 Mosul | Iraqi League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Mosul 1-3 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Zawra'a score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mosul score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Zawra'a | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Mosul | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Zawra'a sit 4th in Iraqi League (21 points from 12 matches) and Mosul sit 17th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al Zawra'a | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
| 17 | Mosul | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 12 |
A question about Al Zawra'a vs Mosul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Zawra'a vs Mosul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Zawra'a the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Mosul.
- Where and when is Al Zawra'a vs Mosul played?
- Al Zawra'a vs Mosul is played on April 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Zawraa Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.