Where and when is Motril vs Huétor Vega played?

Motril vs Huétor Vega is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Escribano Castilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Motril vs Huétor Vega: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Escribano Castilla, Motril

Motril

Huétor Vega

The Footlab model makes Motril the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Huétor Vega. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motril vs Huétor Vega?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Motril (1,850) and Huétor Vega (1,756).

Motril win57 %

Draw25 %

Huétor Vega win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motril have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Huétor Vega have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motril
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 31, 2026	Arenas Armilla(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 24, 2026	Churriana Vega(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026	Churriana Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Huétor Vega
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Martos(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Mijas Las Lagunas(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Marbelli(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Mancha Real(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Motril win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Huétor Vega win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Huétor Vega 1-1 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 21, 2025	Motril 1-0 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 6, 2025	Motril 3-1 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 24, 2024	Huétor Vega 1-0 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Feb 4, 2024	Motril 1-0 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 24, 2023	Huétor Vega 0-2 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Huétor Vega vs Motril on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Motril score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Motril	1.2	0.8	6	8/15	6/15
Huétor Vega	1.5	1.3	2	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motril sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (65 points from 34 matches) and Huétor Vega sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Motril	34	18	11	5	55	29	65
10	Huétor Vega	34	12	9	13	43	42	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motril vs Huétor Vega?: The Footlab model makes Motril the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Huétor Vega.
Where and when is Motril vs Huétor Vega played?: Motril vs Huétor Vega is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Escribano Castilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.