Torre del Mar vs Motril: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, Torre del Mar
The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Torre del Mar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Motril wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torre del Mar vs Motril?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Torre del Mar (1,762) and Motril (1,848).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torre del Mar vs Motril
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torre del Mar
Not enough data to predict the Torre del Mar lineup.
Motril
Not enough data to predict the Motril lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torre del Mar have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Motril have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torre del Mar wins, 2 draws, 1 Motril win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Motril 1-1 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Torre del Mar 2-1 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Motril 0-4 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 25, 2025 | Motril 0-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 18, 2025 | Torre del Mar 2-0 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Motril 2-1 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Motril vs Torre del Mar on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Motril score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Motril | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torre del Mar sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (7 points from 7 matches) and Motril sit 4th (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Torre del Mar vs Motril?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torre del Mar vs Motril?
- The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Torre del Mar.
- Where and when is Torre del Mar vs Motril played?
- Torre del Mar vs Motril is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027Atlético PorcunavsMálaga II
- Jan 10, 2027Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsMarbelli
- Jan 10, 2027Huétor VegavsMelilla
- Jan 10, 2027Mancha RealvsArenas Armilla
- Jan 10, 2027AlhaurinovsAlmería II
- Jan 10, 2027UD San PedrovsGranada II
- Jan 10, 2027Malaga CityvsChurriana Vega
- Jan 10, 2027Atletico de MarbellavsCantoria