Moyola Park vs Dundela: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mill Meadow, Caisleán Dhásain
The Footlab model makes Moyola Park the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Dundela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moyola Park vs Dundela?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Moyola Park (1,270) and Dundela (1,185).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moyola Park have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Dundela have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Moyola Park win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Dundela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dundela 2-2 Moyola Park | Championship |
| Jul 5, 2022 | Dundela 4-1 Moyola Park | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2018 | Moyola Park 0-2 Dundela | Premier Intermediate League |
| Apr 17, 2018 | Dundela 2-0 Moyola Park | Premier Intermediate League |
| Mar 20, 2018 | Moyola Park 1-1 Dundela | Premier Intermediate League |
Last archived meeting: Dundela vs Moyola Park on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Moyola Park score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dundela score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyola Park | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Dundela | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moyola Park sit 11th in Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Dundela sit 13th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Dundela | 33 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 73 | 20 |
| 11 | Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 43 | 77 | 28 |
| 11 | Moyola Park | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Dundela | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moyola Park vs Dundela?
- The Footlab model makes Moyola Park the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Dundela.
- Where and when is Moyola Park vs Dundela played?
- Moyola Park vs Dundela is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mill Meadow, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.