H&W Welders vs Institute: prediction and stats
ChampionshipMatchday 21Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blanchflower Stadium, Belfast
The Footlab AI model makes H&W Welders the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Institute. The most likely score is 1-1. If H&W Welders wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win H&W Welders vs Institute?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate H&W Welders (1,428) and Institute (1,413).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for H&W Welders vs Institute
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
H&W Welders
4-3-3- 11E. Devine
- 12E. Nto
- 28D. Mhondiwa
- 24R. Wilson
- 6D. Kearns
- LL. McKenna
- 30K. Nelson
- 2L. Patterson
- 8C. Harris
- 22E. McCoubrey
- 3S. Safaei
Institute
Not enough data to predict the Institute lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, H&W Welders have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Institute have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ards(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Loughgall(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Loughgall(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 H&W Welders wins, 2 draws, 1 Institute win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Institute 0-0 H&W Welders | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2026 | H&W Welders 1-4 Institute | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Institute 0-4 H&W Welders | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | H&W Welders 2-1 Institute | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Institute 1-1 H&W Welders | Championship |
| Nov 9, 2024 | H&W Welders 3-1 Institute | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Institute vs H&W Welders on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
H&W Welders score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Institute score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H&W Welders | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Institute | 1.5 | 1.5 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
H&W Welders sit 3rd in Championship (59 points from 33 matches) and Institute sit 7th (46 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | H&W Welders | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 77 | 41 | 59 |
| 7 | Institute | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 43 | 46 |
A question about H&W Welders vs Institute?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for H&W Welders vs Institute?
- The Footlab AI model makes H&W Welders the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Institute.
- Where and when is H&W Welders vs Institute played?
- H&W Welders vs Institute is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blanchflower Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.