Armagh City vs Warrenpoint Town: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Holm Park, Armagh
The Footlab AI model makes Warrenpoint Town the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Armagh City. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,872 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Armagh City vs Warrenpoint Town?
Warrenpoint Town starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,334 vs 1,116).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Armagh City vs Warrenpoint Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Armagh City
Not enough data to predict the Armagh City lineup.
Warrenpoint Town
Not enough data to predict the Warrenpoint Town lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 09:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Armagh City have 0 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats; Warrenpoint Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Armagh City wins, 1 draw, 3 Warrenpoint Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town 2-0 Armagh City | Championship |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town 0-0 Armagh City | Championship |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Armagh City 1-5 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Armagh City 0-2 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Warrenpoint Town 3-5 Armagh City | Championship |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Armagh City 3-0 Warrenpoint Town | Premier Intermediate League |
Last archived meeting: Warrenpoint Town vs Armagh City on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Armagh City score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Warrenpoint Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armagh City | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Warrenpoint Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Armagh City sit 12th in Championship (19 points from 38 matches) and Warrenpoint Town sit 9th (41 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 30 | 112 | 19 |
A question about Armagh City vs Warrenpoint Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Armagh City vs Warrenpoint Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Warrenpoint Town the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Armagh City.
- Where and when is Armagh City vs Warrenpoint Town played?
- Armagh City vs Warrenpoint Town is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Holm Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.