Ards vs Annagh United: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bangor Fuels Arena, Bangor
The Footlab AI model makes Annagh United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Ards. The most likely score is 1-1. If Annagh United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ards vs Annagh United?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Ards (1,394) and Annagh United (1,488).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ards vs Annagh United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ards
Not enough data to predict the Ards lineup.
Annagh United
4-3-3- 27E. Teggart
- 7Ryan Swan
- 9A. Balde
- 77Philip Donnelly
- 6Jack Henderson
- 17Aaron Rogers
- KKris Calvert
- CC. Young
- 11Craig Taylor
- 18Lee Upton
- 1Joel Little
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ards have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Annagh United have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Institute(home) | 5-0 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ards win, 0 draws, 5 Annagh United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Annagh United 2-1 Ards | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Annagh United 3-2 Ards | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Annagh United 3-1 Ards | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Ards 1-2 Annagh United | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Annagh United 1-0 Ards | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Ards 2-0 Annagh United | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ards score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Annagh United score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ards | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Annagh United | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ards sit 8th in Championship (43 points from 33 matches) and Annagh United sit 2nd (71 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Annagh United | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 27 | 71 |
| 8 | Ards | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 43 |
A question about Ards vs Annagh United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ards vs Annagh United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Annagh United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Ards.
- Where and when is Ards vs Annagh United played?
- Ards vs Annagh United is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bangor Fuels Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.