Warrenpoint Town vs Moyola Park: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Milltown Playing Fields, Warrenpoint
The Footlab model makes Warrenpoint Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Moyola Park. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warrenpoint Town vs Moyola Park?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Warrenpoint Town (1,245) and Moyola Park (1,270).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warrenpoint Town have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Moyola Park have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Warrenpoint Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Moyola Park win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Warrenpoint Town 2-1 Moyola Park | Premier Intermediate League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Moyola Park 3-2 Warrenpoint Town | Premier Intermediate League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Warrenpoint Town 0-1 Moyola Park | Premier Intermediate League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Moyola Park 0-3 Warrenpoint Town | Premier Intermediate League |
Last archived meeting: Warrenpoint Town vs Moyola Park on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Warrenpoint Town score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Moyola Park score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Moyola Park | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warrenpoint Town sit 8th in Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Moyola Park sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warrenpoint Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 50 | 36 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
| 11 | Moyola Park | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warrenpoint Town vs Moyola Park?
- The Footlab model makes Warrenpoint Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Moyola Park.
- Where and when is Warrenpoint Town vs Moyola Park played?
- Warrenpoint Town vs Moyola Park is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Milltown Playing Fields, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.