Mpam vs Finikas Polichnis: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 18Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Mpam the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Finikas Polichnis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mpam wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mpam vs Finikas Polichnis?
On Elo ratings, Mpam has 1,581 points and Finikas Polichnis 1,567.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mpam vs Finikas Polichnis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mpam
Not enough data to predict the Mpam lineup.
Finikas Polichnis
Not enough data to predict the Finikas Polichnis lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Mpam have 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Finikas Polichnis have 3, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kilkisiakos(away) | 4-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Akrites Sykeon(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PAO Kristoni(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Panedessaikos(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Agiou Nikolaou(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Polykastrou(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Kilkisiakos(home) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mpam score 2.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Finikas Polichnis score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mpam | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 4/4 | 3/4 |
| Finikas Polichnis | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mpam vs Finikas Polichnis?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mpam vs Finikas Polichnis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mpam the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Finikas Polichnis.
- Where and when is Mpam vs Finikas Polichnis played?
- Mpam vs Finikas Polichnis is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.