MSV Duisburg vs VfR Aalen: result 1-4 and analysis
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 5, 2012 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
Full time
What was the result of MSV Duisburg vs VfR Aalen?
VfR Aalen won 1-4 on August 5, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 14′B. BajićMSV Duisburg
- 20′Marcel ReichweinVfR Aalen
- 33′M. DauschVfR Aalen (pen.)
- 46′K. KamplVfR Aalen
- 60′Robert LechleiterVfR Aalen
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; VfR Aalen have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2012 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 29, 2012 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 20, 2012 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 14, 2012 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 2-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 11, 2012 | TSV 1860 München(away) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2012 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 0-4 | 3. Liga |
| Apr 28, 2012 | Stuttgart II(away) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Apr 14, 2012 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Apr 10, 2012 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 4-1 | 3. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
MSV Duisburg score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Aalen score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| VfR Aalen | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 3, 2012FC Ingolstadt 042-2Energie Cottbus
- Aug 3, 2012Erzgebirge Aue0-0FC St. Pauli
- Aug 3, 2012Hertha BSC2-2SC Paderborn 07
- Aug 4, 2012TSV 1860 München1-0SSV Jahn Regensburg
- Aug 4, 2012VfL Bochum2-1Dynamo Dresden
- Aug 5, 2012SV Sandhausen1-1FSV Frankfurt
- Aug 5, 2012Eintracht Braunschweig1-01. FC Köln
- Aug 6, 20121. FC Kaiserslautern3-3Union Berlin