MTE 1904 vs Pápai Perutz: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 23Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wittmann Antal park, Mosonmagyaróvár
The Footlab model makes MTE 1904 the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Pápai Perutz. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTE 1904 vs Pápai Perutz?
MTE 1904 starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,308).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTE 1904 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Pápai Perutz have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Veszprém(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Balatonalmádi(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Király SZE(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sárisápi Bányász(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Zsámbéki SK(away) | 6-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Komárom(away) | 2-4 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Veszprém(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1908 SZAC(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Király SZE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Haladás VSE(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 MTE 1904 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pápai Perutz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Pápai Perutz 0-3 MTE 1904 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 6, 2025 | MTE 1904 2-1 Pápai Perutz | NB III - Northwest |
| May 8, 2022 | MTE 1904 2-1 Pápai Perutz | NB III - Southwest |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Pápai Perutz 0-3 MTE 1904 | NB III - Southwest |
| Nov 10, 2019 | MTE 1904 3-3 Pápai Perutz | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pápai Perutz vs MTE 1904 on Nov 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
MTE 1904 score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pápai Perutz score 1.3 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTE 1904 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Pápai Perutz | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTE 1904 sit 2nd in NB III - Northwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Pápai Perutz sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MTE 1904 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Pápai Perutz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTE 1904 vs Pápai Perutz?
- The Footlab model makes MTE 1904 the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Pápai Perutz.
- Where and when is MTE 1904 vs Pápai Perutz played?
- MTE 1904 vs Pápai Perutz is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wittmann Antal park, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.