MTK Budapest II vs Pécsi MFC: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 23Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sándor Károly Labdarúgó Akadémia, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for MTK Budapest II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pécsi MFC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTK Budapest II vs Pécsi MFC?
Pécsi MFC starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,541).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MTK Budapest II vs Pécsi MFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MTK Budapest II
Not enough data to predict the MTK Budapest II lineup.
Pécsi MFC
Not enough data to predict the Pécsi MFC lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Pécsi MFC have 14, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Érdi VSE(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Paksi SE II(away) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tiszakecske FC(home) | 3-2 | Magyar Kupa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 MTK Budapest II win, 2 draws, 2 Pécsi MFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pécsi MFC 3-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| May 3, 2026 | MTK Budapest II 1-1 Pécsi MFC | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Pécsi MFC 1-1 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| May 11, 2025 | Pécsi MFC 1-2 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 27, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 2-4 Pécsi MFC | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pécsi MFC vs MTK Budapest II on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MTK Budapest II score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pécsi MFC score 2.8 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest II | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Pécsi MFC | 2.8 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTK Budapest II sit 7th in NB III - Southwest (15 points from 9 matches) and Pécsi MFC sit 1st (31 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 15 |
A question about MTK Budapest II vs Pécsi MFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest II vs Pécsi MFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for MTK Budapest II.
- Where and when is MTK Budapest II vs Pécsi MFC played?
- MTK Budapest II vs Pécsi MFC is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sándor Károly Labdarúgó Akadémia, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.