Sárbogárd vs Érdi VSE: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 23Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sárbogárd Sportpálya, Sárbogárd
The Footlab AI model makes Érdi VSE the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Sárbogárd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Érdi VSE wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sárbogárd vs Érdi VSE?
Érdi VSE starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,496 vs 1,308).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sárbogárd vs Érdi VSE
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sárbogárd
Not enough data to predict the Sárbogárd lineup.
Érdi VSE
Not enough data to predict the Érdi VSE lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sárbogárd have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Érdi VSE have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kaposvar(away) | 0-7 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 3-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 11, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kaposvar(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 4-3 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Sárbogárd wins, 0 draws, 1 Érdi VSE win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Érdi VSE 4-3 Sárbogárd | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Érdi VSE vs Sárbogárd on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sárbogárd score 0.9 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Érdi VSE score 2.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sárbogárd | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Érdi VSE | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sárbogárd sit 14th in NB III - Southwest (5 points from 10 matches) and Érdi VSE sit 11th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Érdi VSE | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 24 | 12 |
| 14 | Sárbogárd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 5 |
A question about Sárbogárd vs Érdi VSE?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sárbogárd vs Érdi VSE?
- The Footlab AI model makes Érdi VSE the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Sárbogárd.
- Where and when is Sárbogárd vs Érdi VSE played?
- Sárbogárd vs Érdi VSE is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sárbogárd Sportpálya, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.