Vasas vs MTK Budapest: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes Vasas the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vasas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,330 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vasas vs MTK Budapest?
On Elo ratings, Vasas has 1,862 points and MTK Budapest 1,789.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vasas vs MTK Budapest
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vasas
4-2-3-1- 9M. Koszta
- 88J. Urblík
- 77M. Tóth
- 15S. Hidi
- 16B. Rab
- 10M. Kovácsréti
- 17Dániel Csóka
- 4B. Pávkovics
- 14Á. Doktorics
- 57P. Iyinbor
- 87M. Engedi
MTK Budapest
4-2-3-1- 20Zalán Márk Kerezsi
- 11G. Jurek
- 6M. Kata
- 80Adrian Zeljković
- 77G. Komáromi
- 8A. G. Zubor
- 26V. Armalas
- 4I. Beriashvili
- 55S. Radić
- 27P. Kovács
- 1P. Demjén
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 03:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasas have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; MTK Budapest have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | MTK Budapest(away) | 0-1 | NB I |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(home) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 4-2 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | TFSE Budapest(away) | 3-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 3-2 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Vasas(home) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paks(away) | 0-3 | NB I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mezokovesd-zsory(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vasas win, 0 draws, 5 MTK Budapest wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | MTK Budapest 1-0 Vasas | NB I |
| Jul 1, 2026 | MTK Budapest 3-1 Vasas | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 14, 2020 | MTK Budapest 3-1 Vasas | NB II |
| Sep 18, 2019 | Vasas 1-4 MTK Budapest | NB II |
| Mar 11, 2017 | MTK Budapest 1-0 Vasas | NB I |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Vasas 3-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest vs Vasas on Oct 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vasas score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| MTK Budapest | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasas sit 4th in NB I (15 points from 10 matches) and MTK Budapest sit 8th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vasas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | MTK Budapest | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Vasas vs MTK Budapest?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vasas vs MTK Budapest?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vasas the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for MTK Budapest.
- Where and when is Vasas vs MTK Budapest played?
- Vasas vs MTK Budapest is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.