Muang Loei United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 22Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, Loei
The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muang Loei United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Muang Loei United (1,466) and Nakhon Ratchasima FC (1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muang Loei United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Romklao United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Roi Et(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Nakhon Si City(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muang Loei United | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muang Loei United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
- The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
- Where and when is Muang Loei United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?
- Muang Loei United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on February 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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