Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?

Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on February 6, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai

Chiangmai United

Nong Bua Pitchaya

The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Chiangmai United (1,430) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).

Chiangmai United win49 %

Draw22 %

Nong Bua Pitchaya win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangmai United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chiangmai United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Kasetsart FC(away)	4-3	Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	3-0	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	1-2	Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026	Khon Kaen United(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026	Trat FC(home)	0-1	Thai League 2

Nong Bua Pitchaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 16, 2026	Pattani(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
May 9, 2026	Police Tero(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chiangmai United win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Chiangmai United 3-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Dec 13, 2025	Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0 Chiangmai United	Thai League 2
Jan 28, 2024	Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1 Chiangmai United	Thai League 2
Sep 16, 2023	Chiangmai United 1-3 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Mar 20, 2022	Chiangmai United 1-3 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 1
Nov 6, 2021	Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-1 Chiangmai United	Thai League 1

Last archived meeting: Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chiangmai United	1.8	2.1	2	10/15	11/15
Nong Bua Pitchaya	2.1	2.1	0	14/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chiangmai United sit 10th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	34	16	6	12	59	59	54
10	Chiangmai United	34	14	1	19	55	58	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?: The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?: Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on February 6, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.