Phrae United vs Muangthong United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 22Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Huaimah Stadium, Huai Ma
The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Phrae United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phrae United vs Muangthong United?
Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,445).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phrae United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Muangthong United have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Muangthong United | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phrae United vs Muangthong United?
- The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Phrae United.
- Where and when is Phrae United vs Muangthong United played?
- Phrae United vs Muangthong United is played on February 7, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Huaimah Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 5, 2027Muang Loei UnitedvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Feb 6, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsKasetsart FC
- Feb 6, 2027Esan PattayavsSongkhla
- Feb 6, 2027Chiangmai UnitedvsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Feb 6, 2027Police TerovsKanchanaburi
- Feb 7, 2027ChainatvsKhon Kaen United
- Feb 7, 2027SatunvsUttaradit
- Feb 7, 2027Nakhon PathomvsChanthaburi