Match

Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Muang Loei United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, Nakhon Ratchasima

Nakhon Ratchasima FCMuang Loei United

The Footlab model makes Nakhon Ratchasima FC the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Muang Loei United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Muang Loei United?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Nakhon Ratchasima FC (1,547) and Muang Loei United (1,466).

Nakhon Ratchasima FC win54 %
Draw25 %
Muang Loei United win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Muang Loei United have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nakhon Ratchasima FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Chonburi FC(away)1-2Thai League 1
May 2, 2026Sukhothai FC(home)1-0Thai League 1
Apr 25, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-1Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026Muangthong United(away)1-2Thai League 1
Apr 11, 2026Bangkok United(home)1-0Thai League 1
Muang Loei United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 29, 2025Sukhothai FC(away)0-4FA Cup
Nov 20, 2024Romklao United(away)2-0FA Cup
Sep 11, 2024Police Tero(home)1-1FA Cup
Sep 7, 2024Roi Et(away)0-1League Cup
Oct 4, 2023Nakhon Si City(away)0-0FA Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0.81.155/156/15
Muang Loei United1.41.357/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Muang Loei United?
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Ratchasima FC the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Muang Loei United.
Where and when is Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Muang Loei United played?
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Muang Loei United is played on October 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nakhon Ratchasima FC and Muang Loei United

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