Muang Loei United vs Police Tero: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, Loei
The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muang Loei United vs Police Tero?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Muang Loei United (1,466) and Police Tero (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muang Loei United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Romklao United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Roi Et(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Nakhon Si City(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Muang Loei United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Police Tero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2024 | Muang Loei United 1-1 Police Tero | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Muang Loei United vs Police Tero on Sep 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muang Loei United | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muang Loei United vs Police Tero?
- The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Police Tero.
- Where and when is Muang Loei United vs Police Tero played?
- Muang Loei United vs Police Tero is played on April 25, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsNakhon Pathom
- Apr 25, 2027Muangthong UnitedvsUttaradit
- Apr 25, 2027Kasetsart FCvsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Apr 25, 2027Phrae UnitedvsChainat
- Apr 25, 2027SongkhlavsMahasarakham United
- Apr 25, 2027Khon Kaen UnitedvsChanthaburi
- Apr 25, 2027Esan PattayavsChiangmai United
- Apr 25, 2027KanchanaburivsSatun