Kanchanaburi vs Satun: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, Kanchanaburi
The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Satun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kanchanaburi vs Satun?
Kanchanaburi starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,542 vs 1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kanchanaburi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Satun have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Chonburi FC(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Muang Trang United(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kanchanaburi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Satun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2023 | Satun 2-1 Kanchanaburi | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Satun vs Kanchanaburi on Oct 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Kanchanaburi score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanchanaburi | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Satun | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kanchanaburi vs Satun?
- The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Satun.
- Where and when is Kanchanaburi vs Satun played?
- Kanchanaburi vs Satun is played on April 25, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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