Police Tero vs Muang Loei United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok
The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Muang Loei United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police Tero vs Muang Loei United?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Muang Loei United (1,466).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Muang Loei United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Romklao United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Roi Et(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Nakhon Si City(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Police Tero win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Muang Loei United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2024 | Muang Loei United 1-1 Police Tero | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Muang Loei United vs Police Tero on Sep 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Muang Loei United | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Muang Loei United?
- The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Muang Loei United.
- Where and when is Police Tero vs Muang Loei United played?
- Police Tero vs Muang Loei United is played on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 5, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsSongkhla
- Sep 5, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsEsan Pattaya
- Sep 5, 2026ChanthaburivsKhon Kaen United
- Sep 5, 2026Nakhon PathomvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Sep 6, 2026ChainatvsPhrae United
- Sep 6, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsKasetsart FC
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