Match

Police Tero vs Muang Loei United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok

Police TeroMuang Loei United

The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Muang Loei United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Police Tero vs Muang Loei United?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Muang Loei United (1,466).

Police Tero win48 %
Draw26 %
Muang Loei United win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Muang Loei United have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-3Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Chanthaburi(away)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Phrae United(home)3-1Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Chainat(away)1-2Thai League 2
Muang Loei United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 29, 2025Sukhothai FC(away)0-4FA Cup
Nov 20, 2024Romklao United(away)2-0FA Cup
Sep 11, 2024Police Tero(home)1-1FA Cup
Sep 7, 2024Roi Et(away)0-1League Cup
Oct 4, 2023Nakhon Si City(away)0-0FA Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Police Tero win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Muang Loei United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 11, 2024Muang Loei United 1-1 Police TeroFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Muang Loei United vs Police Tero on Sep 11, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Police Tero1.21.9112/159/15
Muang Loei United1.41.357/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Police Tero3415811504453

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Muang Loei United?
The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Muang Loei United.
Where and when is Police Tero vs Muang Loei United played?
Police Tero vs Muang Loei United is played on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Police Tero and Muang Loei United

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