Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, Nakhon Ratchasima
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Ratchasima FC the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nakhon Pathom?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Nakhon Ratchasima FC (1,547) and Nakhon Pathom (1,462).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nakhon Pathom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0-3 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 24, 2021 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-0 Nakhon Pathom | FA Cup |
| Jul 23, 2014 | Nakhon Pathom 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 26, 2014 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 7, 2013 | Nakhon Pathom 3-2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nakhon Pathom on Jan 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nakhon Pathom?
- The Footlab model makes Nakhon Ratchasima FC the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Nakhon Pathom.
- Where and when is Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nakhon Pathom played?
- Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nakhon Pathom is played on April 25, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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