Match

Muangnont vs Samui United: prediction and stats

FA CupRound of 64Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nonthaburi Youth Centre Stadium, Nonthaburi

MuangnontSamui United

The Footlab AI model makes Muangnont the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Samui United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Muangnont wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,514 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Muangnont vs Samui United?

On Elo ratings, Muangnont has 1,280 points and Samui United 1,313.

53%22%25%
Muangnont winDrawSamui United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Muangnont vs Samui United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Muangnont

4-3-3
  1. 9Christian Ezike
  2. 13Chanayut Srisawat
  3. 37A. Yusoh
  1. 6W. Silahiranrat
  2. 39R. Ruangram
  3. 19S. Theerakul
  1. 16Watcharapong Tankijcharoen
  2. 14P. Choedwichit
  3. 8A. Bunarpha
  4. 18P. Thaicharoen
  1. 29Surakrai Haphonram

Samui United

Not enough data to predict the Samui United lineup.

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:15 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Muangnont have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Samui United have 1, 0 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Muangnont
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2025Phitsanulok(home)0-1FA Cup
Jan 29, 2025Raj Pracha(away)0-1FA Cup
Nov 20, 2024APD United(away)2-1FA Cup
Sep 8, 2024Samut Sakhon City(away)0-2League Cup
Sep 4, 2022Bangkok(away)1-5League Cup
Samui United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 21, 2025Khon Kaen United(home)1-3FA Cup
Oct 29, 2025Sakaeo Ban Kaeng FC(home)2-0FA Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Muangnont score 0.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 5; Samui United score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Muangnont0.62.002/52/5
Samui United1.51.511/21/2

Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.

A question about Muangnont vs Samui United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Muangnont vs Samui United?
The Footlab AI model makes Muangnont the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Samui United.
Where and when is Muangnont vs Samui United played?
Muangnont vs Samui United is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nonthaburi Youth Centre Stadium, in the FA Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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