Match

Police Tero vs Surin: prediction and stats

FA CupRound of 64Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok

Police TeroSurin

The Footlab AI model makes Police Tero the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Surin. The most likely score is 3-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,783 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Police Tero vs Surin?

On Elo ratings, Police Tero has 1,383 points and Surin 1,322.

79%13%8%
Police Tero winDrawSurin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Police Tero vs Surin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Police Tero

4-3-3
  1. 30Ahmed Awad Mohammad
  2. 11A. Kelani Essadi
  3. 9Fernando Viana
  1. 8W. Motim
  2. 10S. Namphueng
  3. 41S. Tudsanai
  1. 37S. Kesi
  2. 6P. Sienkrthok
  3. 14T. Thanachartkun
  4. 91P. Boers
  1. 1S. Khumpiam

Surin

4-3-3
  1. 10W. Chinthong
  2. 9A. Bunloet
  3. 11J. Nueakaew
  1. 13K. Sangsamanan
  2. 7Arttapon Sopa
  3. 99C. Thaweewut
  1. 3A. Sawaengsuk
  2. 6K. Kingkaeo
  3. 20S. Bunjan
  4. 28C. Karnson
  1. 95J. Phananut

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:10 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Surin have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)5-3Thai League 2
Oct 13, 2026Kanchanaburi(away)0-1Thai League 2
Oct 10, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home)1-1Thai League 2
Sep 19, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)0-2Thai League 2
Sep 15, 2026Songkhla(home)0-3Thai League 2
Surin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 9, 2025BG Pathum United(home)1-4FA Cup
Jan 29, 2025Huasamrong Gateway(away)1-0FA Cup
Nov 20, 2024Ubonkids City(home)2-0FA Cup
Feb 28, 2024Udon United(away)1-1FA Cup
Dec 20, 2023Chiangrai United(home)2-0FA Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Police Tero score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Surin score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Police Tero1.51.729/159/15
Surin1.62.157/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Police Tero vs Surin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Surin?
The Footlab AI model makes Police Tero the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Surin.
Where and when is Police Tero vs Surin played?
Police Tero vs Surin is played on October 21, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the FA Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Police Tero and Surin

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