Muangthong United vs Mahasarakham United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 23Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Thunder Dome Stadium, Nonthaburi
The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Mahasarakham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muangthong United vs Mahasarakham United?
Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,460).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muangthong United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mahasarakham United have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Muangthong United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mahasarakham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | Mahasarakham United 0-2 Muangthong United | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mahasarakham United vs Muangthong United on Nov 24, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muangthong United | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Mahasarakham United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mahasarakham United | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 42 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muangthong United vs Mahasarakham United?
- The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Mahasarakham United.
- Where and when is Muangthong United vs Mahasarakham United played?
- Muangthong United vs Mahasarakham United is played on February 14, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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