Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu
The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Nakhon Pathom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom 3-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-0 Nakhon Pathom | League Cup |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 10, 2021 | Nakhon Pathom 0-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th in Thai League 2 (54 points from 34 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 15th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 59 | 54 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom?
- The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Nakhon Pathom.
- Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom played?
- Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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