Match

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu

Nong Bua PitchayaNakhon Pathom

The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).

Nong Bua Pitchaya win50 %
Draw25 %
Nakhon Pathom win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nong Bua Pitchaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 16, 2026Pattani(home)2-1Thai League 2
May 9, 2026Police Tero(home)3-1Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Police Tero(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Phrae United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Bangkok(home)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Mahasarakham United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-1Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)0-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Nakhon Pathom win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Nakhon Pathom 3-1 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2
Dec 3, 2025Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Feb 26, 2025Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-0 Nakhon PathomLeague Cup
Jan 14, 2025Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 1
Aug 24, 2024Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1 Nakhon PathomThai League 1
Feb 10, 2021Nakhon Pathom 0-0 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nong Bua Pitchaya2.12.1014/1514/15
Nakhon Pathom1.11.164/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th in Thai League 2 (54 points from 34 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 15th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Nong Bua Pitchaya3416612595954
15Nakhon Pathom3410915293739

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom?
The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom played?
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nong Bua Pitchaya and Nakhon Pathom

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