Match

Muangthong United vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Thunder Dome Stadium, Nonthaburi

Muangthong UnitedNakhon Pathom

The Footlab AI model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,987 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Muangthong United vs Nakhon Pathom?

Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,552 vs 1,435).

65%21%14%
Muangthong United winDrawNakhon Pathom win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Muangthong United vs Nakhon Pathom

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Muangthong United

4-2-3-1
  1. 45M. Saric
  1. 14S. Panthong
  2. 34K. Khamyok
  3. 6J. Strauß
  4. 7Willian Popp
  5. 24A. Ahannach
  1. 27M. Kempter
  2. 4S. Tsonkov
  3. 28Kim Dong-Su
  4. 19T. Do
  1. 33K. Pipatnadda

Nakhon Pathom

4-3-3
  1. 11Valdo
  2. 22P. Viriyachanchai
  3. 21N. Prachobklang
  1. 66S. Chaolaokhwan
  2. 6J. Phupha
  3. 55C. Otton
  1. 47A. Sangtong
  2. 44Amirhossein Nemati
  3. 5V. Filipović
  4. 33A. Sangram
  1. 76K. Pitaksalee

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:14 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muangthong United have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Muangthong United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Oct 31, 2026Muang Loei United(away)3-1Thai League 2
Oct 26, 2026Police Tero(home)4-1Thai League 2
Oct 21, 2026Ayutthaya FC(away)1-2FA Cup
Oct 18, 2026Mahasarakham United(away)0-0Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Mahasarakham United(home)6-2Thai League 2
Nov 1, 2026Satun(away)0-0Thai League 2
Oct 24, 2026Uttaradit(away)0-2Thai League 2
Oct 20, 2026Uthai Thani(away)0-2FA Cup
Oct 17, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)4-3Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Muangthong United wins, 1 draw, 1 Nakhon Pathom win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Muangthong UnitedThai League 2
Mar 30, 2025Nakhon Pathom 2-4 Muangthong UnitedThai League 1
Jan 29, 2025Nakhon Pathom 0-4 Muangthong UnitedFA Cup
Nov 11, 2024Muangthong United 3-1 Nakhon PathomThai League 1
Feb 23, 2024Nakhon Pathom 2-2 Muangthong UnitedThai League 1
Sep 23, 2023Muangthong United 3-1 Nakhon PathomThai League 1

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Muangthong United score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Muangthong United1.01.147/158/15
Nakhon Pathom1.41.365/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Muangthong United sit 7th in Thai League 2 (14 points from 10 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 12th (11 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Muangthong United10424111014
12Nakhon Pathom925281111

A question about Muangthong United vs Nakhon Pathom?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Muangthong United vs Nakhon Pathom?
The Footlab AI model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Muangthong United vs Nakhon Pathom played?
Muangthong United vs Nakhon Pathom is played on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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