Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United played?

Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom

Nakhon Pathom

Muangthong United

The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United?

Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,616 vs 1,463).

Nakhon Pathom win34 %

Draw27 %

Muangthong United win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Muangthong United have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nakhon Pathom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Phrae United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026	Bangkok(home)	0-3	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Mahasarakham United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026	Khon Kaen United(away)	0-1	Thai League 2

Muangthong United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Sukhothai FC(away)	0-3	Thai League 1
May 1, 2026	BG Pathum United(home)	1-1	Thai League 1
Apr 26, 2026	Chonburi FC(away)	0-0	Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026	Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home)	2-1	Thai League 1
Apr 5, 2026	Chiangrai United(home)	2-1	Thai League 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Nakhon Pathom win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Muangthong United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 30, 2025	Nakhon Pathom 2-4 Muangthong United	Thai League 1
Jan 29, 2025	Nakhon Pathom 0-4 Muangthong United	FA Cup
Nov 11, 2024	Muangthong United 3-1 Nakhon Pathom	Thai League 1
Feb 23, 2024	Nakhon Pathom 2-2 Muangthong United	Thai League 1
Sep 23, 2023	Muangthong United 3-1 Nakhon Pathom	Thai League 1

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United on Mar 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nakhon Pathom	1.1	1.1	6	4/15	4/15
Muangthong United	0.8	1.6	3	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Nakhon Pathom	34	10	9	15	29	37	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United?: The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United played?: Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.