Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Police Tero: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 21Kick-off on January 29, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, Nakhon Ratchasima
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Ratchasima FC the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Police Tero?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Nakhon Ratchasima FC (1,547) and Police Tero (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Police Tero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-3 Police Tero | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Police Tero 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
| May 18, 2022 | Police Tero 1-2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | FA Cup |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Police Tero 0-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-0 Police Tero | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Police Tero 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Police Tero on May 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Police Tero?
- The Footlab model makes Nakhon Ratchasima FC the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Police Tero.
- Where and when is Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Police Tero played?
- Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Police Tero is played on January 29, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Khon Kaen UnitedvsSatun
- Jan 30, 2027UttaraditvsMahasarakham United
- Jan 30, 2027Kasetsart FCvsChiangmai United
- Jan 30, 2027Muangthong UnitedvsNakhon Pathom
- Jan 31, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsChanthaburi
- Jan 31, 2027SongkhlavsChainat
- Jan 31, 2027KanchanaburivsPhrae United
- Jan 31, 2027Esan PattayavsMuang Loei United