Match

Esan Pattaya vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nong Prue Stadium, Pattaya

Esan PattayaNong Bua Pitchaya

The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Esan Pattaya (1,453) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).

Esan Pattaya win49 %
Draw23 %
Nong Bua Pitchaya win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esan Pattaya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Esan Pattaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chainat(away)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Sisaket United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Phrae United(away)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)3-0Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-1Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 16, 2026Pattani(home)2-1Thai League 2
May 9, 2026Police Tero(home)3-1Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Police Tero(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)3-3Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Esan Pattaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Nov 30, 2025Esan Pattaya 4-0 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2
Mar 23, 2024Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-0 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Dec 3, 2023Esan Pattaya 1-1 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Esan Pattaya1.51.157/158/15
Nong Bua Pitchaya2.12.1014/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Esan Pattaya sit 12th in Thai League 2 (42 points from 34 matches) and Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Nong Bua Pitchaya3416612595954
12Esan Pattaya34101212454242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Esan Pattaya vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where and when is Esan Pattaya vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?
Esan Pattaya vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nong Prue Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Esan Pattaya and Nong Bua Pitchaya

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