Esan Pattaya vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nong Prue Stadium, Pattaya
The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Esan Pattaya (1,453) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esan Pattaya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Esan Pattaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Esan Pattaya 4-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-0 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Esan Pattaya 1-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Esan Pattaya on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esan Pattaya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esan Pattaya sit 12th in Thai League 2 (42 points from 34 matches) and Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 59 | 54 |
| 12 | Esan Pattaya | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esan Pattaya vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
- The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
- Where and when is Esan Pattaya vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?
- Esan Pattaya vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nong Prue Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026ChainatvsChanthaburi
- Nov 28, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsKasetsart FC
- Nov 28, 2026Police TerovsNakhon Pathom
- Nov 28, 2026KanchanaburivsChiangmai United
- Nov 29, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsUttaradit
- Nov 29, 2026Phrae UnitedvsMahasarakham United
- Nov 29, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsSatun
- Nov 30, 2026SongkhlavsMuangthong United