Match

Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok

Police TeroNakhon Pathom

The Footlab AI model makes Police Tero the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Police Tero wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,778 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom?

On Elo ratings, Police Tero has 1,387 points and Nakhon Pathom 1,369.

51%27%22%
Police Tero winDrawNakhon Pathom win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Police Tero

4-3-3
  1. 30Ahmed Awad Mohammad
  2. 11A. Kelani Essadi
  3. 9Fernando Viana
  1. 8W. Motim
  2. 10S. Namphueng
  3. 41S. Tudsanai
  1. 37S. Kesi
  2. 6P. Sienkrthok
  3. 14T. Thanachartkun
  4. 91P. Boers
  1. 1S. Khumpiam

Nakhon Pathom

4-3-3
  1. 11Valdo
  2. 22P. Viriyachanchai
  3. 21N. Prachobklang
  1. 66S. Chaolaokhwan
  2. 6J. Phupha
  3. 55C. Otton
  1. 47A. Sangtong
  2. 44Amirhossein Nemati
  3. 5V. Filipović
  4. 33A. Sangram
  1. 76K. Pitaksalee

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:35 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Muangthong United(away)1-4Thai League 2
Oct 21, 2026Surin(home)4-1FA Cup
Oct 17, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)5-3Thai League 2
Oct 13, 2026Kanchanaburi(away)0-1Thai League 2
Oct 10, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home)1-1Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Uttaradit(away)0-2Thai League 2
Oct 20, 2026Uthai Thani(away)0-2FA Cup
Oct 17, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)4-3Thai League 2
Oct 14, 2026Chanthaburi(away)0-3Thai League 2
Oct 10, 2026Muangthong United(home)1-0Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Police Tero wins, 1 draw, 1 Nakhon Pathom win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Police TeroThai League 2
Oct 5, 2025Police Tero 4-2 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Mar 2, 2024Police Tero 1-1 Nakhon PathomThai League 1
Oct 1, 2023Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Police TeroThai League 1
Jan 12, 2022Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Police TeroLeague Cup

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Police Tero score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Police Tero1.71.9210/1510/15
Nakhon Pathom1.01.354/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Police Tero sit 11th in Thai League 2 (10 points from 7 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 12th (10 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Police Tero7313101010
12Nakhon Pathom824281110

A question about Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom?
The Footlab AI model makes Police Tero the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom played?
Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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