Where and when is Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom played?

Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok

Police Tero

Nakhon Pathom

The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).

Police Tero win47 %

Draw28 %

Nakhon Pathom win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Police Tero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)	1-3	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Chanthaburi(away)	1-1	Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026	Phrae United(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026	Chainat(away)	1-2	Thai League 2

Nakhon Pathom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Phrae United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026	Bangkok(home)	0-3	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Mahasarakham United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026	Khon Kaen United(away)	0-1	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Police Tero win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nakhon Pathom win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 15, 2026	Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Police Tero	Thai League 2
Oct 5, 2025	Police Tero 4-2 Nakhon Pathom	Thai League 2
Mar 2, 2024	Police Tero 1-1 Nakhon Pathom	Thai League 1
Oct 1, 2023	Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Police Tero	Thai League 1
Jan 12, 2022	Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Police Tero	League Cup

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Police Tero on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Police Tero	1.2	1.9	1	12/15	9/15
Nakhon Pathom	1.1	1.1	6	4/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Police Tero sit 5th in Thai League 2 (53 points from 34 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 15th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Police Tero	34	15	8	11	50	44	53
15	Nakhon Pathom	34	10	9	15	29	37	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom?: The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom played?: Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.