Mukura vs Etincelles: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Huye, Butare
The Footlab AI model makes Mukura the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Etincelles. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mukura vs Etincelles?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Mukura (1,666) and Etincelles (1,600).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mukura vs Etincelles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mukura
Not enough data to predict the Mukura lineup.
Etincelles
Not enough data to predict the Etincelles lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 02:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mukura have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Etincelles have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al Merreikh(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | APR(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marines(home) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bugesera(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mukura wins, 2 draws, 2 Etincelles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Mukura 1-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Etincelles 1-1 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Etincelles 2-0 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Mukura 0-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Etincelles 3-1 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Mukura 1-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mukura score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Etincelles score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mukura | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Etincelles | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mukura sit 3rd in National Soccer League (12 points from 7 matches) and Etincelles sit 16th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mukura | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Mukura vs Etincelles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mukura vs Etincelles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mukura the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Etincelles.
- Where and when is Mukura vs Etincelles played?
- Mukura vs Etincelles is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Huye, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.