Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Ángel Lito Pérez Treacy, Puntarenas
The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Puntarenas FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense?
LD Alajuelense starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puntarenas FC have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; LD Alajuelense have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | San Carlos(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Puntarenas FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 LD Alajuelense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | LD Alajuelense 2-1 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| Apr 24, 2026 | LD Alajuelense 5-2 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Puntarenas FC 2-0 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 2-2 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Puntarenas FC 0-0 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| May 15, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 1-0 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puntarenas FC score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; LD Alajuelense score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puntarenas FC | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| LD Alajuelense | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puntarenas FC sit 7th in Primera División (5 points from 5 matches) and LD Alajuelense sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LD Alajuelense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Puntarenas FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense?
- The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Puntarenas FC.
- Where and when is Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense played?
- Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Ángel Lito Pérez Treacy, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.