Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann, San José
The Footlab model makes CS Cartagines the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Sporting San Jose. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Sporting San Jose (1,715) and CS Cartagines (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting San Jose have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; CS Cartagines have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Boise(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Cartagines(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verdes(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CD Motagua(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sporting San Jose win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 CS Cartagines win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Cartagines 2-1 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Sporting San Jose 2-3 CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| Feb 12, 2026 | CS Cartagines 1-2 Sporting San Jose | Copa Costa Rica |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Sporting San Jose 4-1 CS Cartagines | Copa Costa Rica |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CS Cartagines 0-2 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2025 | CS Cartagines 1-0 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: CS Cartagines vs Sporting San Jose on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting San Jose score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; CS Cartagines score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting San Jose | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| CS Cartagines | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting San Jose sit 5th in Primera División (8 points from 5 matches) and CS Cartagines sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CS Cartagines | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Sporting San Jose | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines?
- The Footlab model makes CS Cartagines the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Sporting San Jose.
- Where and when is Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines played?
- Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.