CS Herediano vs San Carlos: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero, Heredia
The Footlab model makes CS Herediano the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for San Carlos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CS Herediano vs San Carlos?
CS Herediano starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,778 vs 1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CS Herediano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; San Carlos have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Real Estelí(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Herediano(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CS Herediano win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 San Carlos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Carlos 1-0 CS Herediano | Primera División |
| Apr 19, 2026 | CS Herediano 1-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2026 | San Carlos 1-0 CS Herediano | Primera División |
| Nov 30, 2025 | CS Herediano 3-1 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2025 | San Carlos 2-2 CS Herediano | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2025 | San Carlos 1-1 CS Herediano | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: San Carlos vs CS Herediano on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CS Herediano score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; San Carlos score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Herediano | 0.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| San Carlos | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CS Herediano sit 10th in Primera División (2 points from 5 matches) and San Carlos sit 6th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | San Carlos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | CS Herediano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CS Herediano vs San Carlos?
- The Footlab model makes CS Herediano the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for San Carlos.
- Where and when is CS Herediano vs San Carlos played?
- CS Herediano vs San Carlos is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.