LD Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Perez Zeledon. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon?
LD Alajuelense starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LD Alajuelense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Perez Zeledon have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 LD Alajuelense win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Perez Zeledon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | LD Alajuelense 3-0 Perez Zeledon | Primera División |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Perez Zeledon 1-1 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 3-2 Perez Zeledon | Primera División |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Perez Zeledon 2-1 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Perez Zeledon 1-2 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Jan 27, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 0-0 Perez Zeledon | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: LD Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
LD Alajuelense score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Perez Zeledon score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LD Alajuelense | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Perez Zeledon | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
LD Alajuelense sit 2nd in Primera División (10 points from 4 matches) and Perez Zeledon sit 8th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LD Alajuelense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Perez Zeledon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LD Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon?
- The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Perez Zeledon.
- Where and when is LD Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon played?
- LD Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.