San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Saprissa the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for San Carlos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Deportivo Saprissa starts as the favourite with a 252-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Carlos have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Deportivo Saprissa have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Herediano(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza FC(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 San Carlos win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Deportivo Saprissa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2026 | San Carlos 1-3 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Oct 16, 2025 | San Carlos 0-2 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Carlos score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Saprissa score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Carlos | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Carlos sit 6th in Primera División (6 points from 5 matches) and Deportivo Saprissa sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | San Carlos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Saprissa the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for San Carlos.
- Where and when is San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa played?
- San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.