Atletico Balboa vs Firpo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 22Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Firpo the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Atletico Balboa. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Balboa vs Firpo?
Firpo starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Atletico Balboa have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Firpo have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Águila(away) | 4-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FAS(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 2-4 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 21, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inca Aruba(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Diriangén(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Balboa score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Firpo score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Balboa | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
| Firpo | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Balboa sit 5th in Primera Division (9 points from 6 matches) and Firpo sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Firpo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Atletico Balboa | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Balboa vs Firpo?
- The Footlab model makes Firpo the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Atletico Balboa.
- Where and when is Atletico Balboa vs Firpo played?
- Atletico Balboa vs Firpo is played on November 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC), in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.