Municipal Limeño vs Forge: result 1-2 and analysis
CONCACAF LeaguePreliminary RoundKick-off on October 23, 2020 at 12:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Full time
What was the result of Municipal Limeño vs Forge?
Forge won 1-2 on October 23, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 21′D. ChoinièreForge
- 38′K. OviedoMunicipal Limeño
- 83′A. NovakForge
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Municipal Limeño have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Forge have 6, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2020 | Firpo(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Águila(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Santa Tecla(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Independiente(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Feb 26, 2020 | Chalatenango(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2020 | HFX Wanderers FC(home) | 2-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2020 | Cavalry FC(away) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Pacific FC(home) | 2-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2020 | HFX Wanderers FC(away) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Valour(home) | 2-2 | Canadian Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Municipal Limeño score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Forge score 1.6 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Limeño | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Forge | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/13 | 5/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy