Municipal vs Antigua GFC: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Trébol, Ciudad de Guatemala
The Footlab model makes Municipal the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Antigua GFC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Municipal vs Antigua GFC?
Municipal starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Municipal have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Antigua GFC have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FAS(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guastatoya(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Verdes(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(away) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | CD Marathon(home) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Guastatoya(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Estelí(home) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Municipal win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Antigua GFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Antigua GFC 1-0 Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Municipal 4-2 Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Municipal 1-0 Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Antigua GFC 2-0 Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Municipal 2-1 Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Antigua GFC 1-1 Municipal | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Antigua GFC vs Municipal on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Municipal score 2.0 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Antigua GFC score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal | 2.0 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Antigua GFC | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Municipal sit 2nd in Liga Nacional (38 points from 22 matches) and Antigua GFC sit 5th (34 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 38 |
| 5 | Antigua GFC | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Municipal vs Antigua GFC?
- The Footlab model makes Municipal the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Antigua GFC.
- Where and when is Municipal vs Antigua GFC played?
- Municipal vs Antigua GFC is played on November 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Trébol, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.