Mura vs Celje: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mestni Štadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota
The Footlab AI model makes Celje the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Mura. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celje wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,516 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mura vs Celje?
Celje starts as the favourite with a 266-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,611).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mura vs Celje
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mura
3-4-3- 30K. Kurtovic
- 3Aleksandar Zeljković
- 71B. Dimitrov
- 10N. Kouter
- 7N. Kasalo
- 18A. Zalaznik
- 47Š. Butić
- 26B. Proleta
- 56M. Matić
- 21Ž. Petrovič
- 33Ž. Fermišek
Celje
4-4-2- 10S. Sešlar
- 47A. Kučys
- 91Y. Dukuly
- 8M. Kvesić
- 77M. Ivanšek
- 14L. Tičić
- 6A. Tutyškinas
- 11M. Avdyli
- 44Ł. Bejger
- 2P. Širvys
- 1Žan-Luk Leban
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mura have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Celje have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 3-3 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celje(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-6 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 1-2 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mura win, 2 draws, 3 Celje wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mura 0-0 Celje | 1. SNL |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Celje 2-2 Mura | 1. SNL |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mura 0-2 Celje | 1. SNL |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Celje 5-1 Mura | 1. SNL |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Mura 2-1 Celje | 1. SNL |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Celje 3-0 Mura | 1. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Mura score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celje score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mura | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Celje | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mura sit 9th in 1. SNL (10 points from 11 matches) and Celje sit 6th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celje | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Mura | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Mura vs Celje?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mura vs Celje?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celje the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Mura.
- Where and when is Mura vs Celje played?
- Mura vs Celje is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mestni Štadion Fazanerija, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.