Maribor vs Aluminij: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ljudski vrt, Maribor
The Footlab AI model makes Maribor the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Aluminij. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maribor wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maribor vs Aluminij?
Maribor starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,699).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maribor vs Aluminij
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maribor
4-3-3- 70I. Tshipamba
- 17J. Mlakar
- 99B. Feta
- 7T. Cipot
- 5Ž. Jevšenak
- 8Claude Gonçalves
- 25M. Blažič
- 6B. M'bondo
- 21V. Koderman
- 23Ž. Karničnik
- 1A. Jug
Aluminij
4-3-3- 45B. Susso
- 44P. Petriško
- 11B. Osuji
- 14T. Jagić
- 13M. Vrbanec
- 7E. Taylor
- 32V. Težak
- 6D. Šimunić
- 4R. Schaubach
- 5M. Boben
- 31F. Raduha
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maribor have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Aluminij have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 28, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 2-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Radomlje(away) | 3-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mura(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Celje(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 2-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mura(away) | 6-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Celje(home) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maribor wins, 3 draws, 1 Aluminij win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maribor 2-2 Aluminij | 1. SNL |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Aluminij 0-0 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Maribor 3-0 Aluminij | 1. SNL |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Aluminij 1-1 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Maribor 2-3 Aluminij | 1. SNL |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Aluminij 2-3 Maribor | 1. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Maribor score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aluminij score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maribor | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Aluminij | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maribor sit 1st in 1. SNL (23 points from 11 matches) and Aluminij sit 7th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 9 | 23 |
| 7 | Aluminij | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
A question about Maribor vs Aluminij?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maribor vs Aluminij?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maribor the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Aluminij.
- Where and when is Maribor vs Aluminij played?
- Maribor vs Aluminij is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ljudski vrt, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.